Odra OpolevsWisła Kraków

This is a Polish Cup round-of-64 tie between Odra Opole and Wisła Kraków, with no prior meetings on record. The model gives the home side a 66% win probability and projects a 2-0 scoreline. Both teams enter on a short turnaround, with Odra having four days' rest and Wisła three.

No league table data is available for Odra Opole. Their last three home matches produced one win, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.67 conceded. The wider five-match run reads D-D-W-L-W, with an average of 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Wisła Kraków are winless in their last three away matches, with 0W 1D 2L and an average of 2.0 goals scored but 2.67 conceded. Their recent five-game form is W-D-L-W-L, averaging 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. No league standings are available for context.

There are no recorded prior meetings between these two sides. With such a small sample, head-to-head data offers no basis for a prediction.

Odra's home record shows a 33.3% win rate and a solid defensive average of 0.67 conceded per game. Wisła's away form is notably weaker: a 0% win rate and 2.67 conceded per game. The contrast between Odra's home solidity and Wisła's away vulnerability is a central feature of this tie.

Both sides are playing on a congested schedule, with Odra having four days since their last match and Wisła three. The absence of league table data means schedule strength cannot be assessed. Odra's defensive numbers at home and Wisła's away defensive issues stand out as the main variables.

The model's confidence is medium, with home win at 66%, draw at 19.5% and away win at 14.5%. It projects a 2-0 scoreline, with the most likely exact scores being 2-0 (11.2%), 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.8%). Combined goals are expected around 3.0, with an 80.2% chance of at least two goals. The winning-margin distribution gives Odra a 42.1% chance of winning by two or more, while a one-goal home win sits at 24%.

The data points to Odra Opole progressing, backed by home advantage, a stronger defensive record in their sample, and Wisła's winless away form. The model's medium confidence, however, leaves room for an upset. That would likely require Wisła's 2.0 goals per away game to outweigh Odra's modest home output — a scenario the model assigns a minority probability.