PaderbornvsStuttgart

Paderborn hosts Stuttgart in the 2026-2027 Bundesliga after a strong recent home record. The data suggests a narrow, tactical game, with the model predicting a goalless draw.

Paderborn sits at 11th after a single draw, averaging zero goals scored and conceded in that match. Their recent form shows a fluctuating run with an average of 1.4 goals per game scored and conceded over five matches.

Stuttgart finished 4th in the previous season, averaging 2.09 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Their away record shows an average of 2.65 scored and 1.85 conceded, but their recent form over five games averages 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.

There are no prior meetings on record between these teams, making historical context unavailable.

Paderborn's home record over the last 20 games shows a win rate of 60%, averaging 2 scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Stuttgart's away record across 20 games averages 2.65 scored and 1.85 conceded, with a 40% win rate.

The hosts have a 20-day break, while Stuttgart's is 21 days. Stuttgart's recent schedule strength (average opponent rank 6.3) is marginally tougher than Paderborn's (average rank 7.3).

The high-confidence Poisson model places the draw at 75.8%, with a projected score of 0-0 (expected goals 0.15 for each side). The combined expected goals total is approximately 0.3, and the model gives a 1.9% probability for either team to score.

Given the statistical profile and the model's confidence, the primary projection is a goalless draw. This outcome is supported by the lack of prior head-to-head data, Stuttgart's 2025-2026 form, and the extremely low projected goal total.