MálagavsLevante

Málaga has started the season with two defeats, conceding seven goals without scoring a single one. Levante enters this fixture with a 74.9% win probability according to the model. The model projects a Levante victory with an expected score of 0-2.

Málaga has lost both of its league games so far, scoring one goal and conceding seven. Its defensive stats rank 18th in the league, while its attack is 19th. At home over the last 20 matches, the team has scored 1.95 goals per game, but these figures do not reflect the current season.

Levante has 11 wins from 38 league games, with a goal difference of -14. It has won 28.9% of its matches and is ranked 16th. Its most recent game ended in a win. Away from home over the last 20 games, Levante has scored 0.95 goals per game.

The historical record shows two meetings, with Málaga scoring three goals and Levante five. Levante has won once, drawn once, and Málaga has won once in these fixtures.

Málaga has a home average of 1.95 goals scored and 1.25 conceded over its last 20 home games, while Levante has an away average of 0.95 scored and 1.65 conceded over its last 20 away games.

The model gives Levante a very high probability of a win. The projected winning margin is 2 goals or more, with a 48.9% chance of a 2+ goal away victory. Only a 1.3% chance is assigned to Málaga winning by 2 or more goals.

The model projects a combined total of 2.49 goals. There is a 71% probability that the match will see two or more goals scored. The most likely exact scorelines are 0-2 and 0-1 for Levante.

The data projects a Levante victory with a high probability and a likely 2-goal margin. The model assigns only a 7.1% probability to a Málaga win, and an away 2+ goal margin is the most likely decisive outcome.