Vlašim2-2Příbram

Round 5 of the Czech National Football League sends Vlašim to Stadion Kollárova ulice to host Příbram. The model is unusually one-sided, giving the hosts an 88.7% win probability and projecting a 4-1 scoreline. That projection rests on a small sample of recent results, so the numbers carry medium confidence.

Vlašim have no league table data on record for this season. Their only recorded home match ended in a win, averaging 4 goals scored and 1 conceded. Across their last five matches in all competitions, their form reads DWLDL, with an average of 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game.

Příbram also lack league table data. Their two recorded away matches produced one win and one draw, with an average of 2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Their last five matches show DWWDL, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.

There are no prior meetings between these sides on record, so the head-to-head offers no meaningful basis for prediction. With that sample empty, the fixture is effectively a fresh matchup.

Vlašim's single home game was a high-scoring win, while Příbram's two away games brought four points from a possible six. These splits are too thin to stand on their own, but they align with the model's view of a home-favored, goal-heavy afternoon.

Both sides have had a full week of rest: Vlašim last played seven days before this match and Příbram six days before it. With no head-to-head record and no league standings to reference, the model leans heavily on recent form and home advantage. Medium confidence reflects the limited input data.

The model gives Vlašim an 88.7% chance of winning, with a draw at 6.6% and an away win at 4.7%. It projects a 4-1 scoreline and roughly 6.1 total goals, with a 98.3% probability of at least two goals and a 72.6% chance that both sides score. The most likely exact scorelines are 4-1, 5-1, and 3-1, and a home win by two or more goals carries a 77.5% probability.

The data points strongly to a comfortable home victory with multiple goals. The main caveat is the tiny sample — one home match for Vlašim and two away for Příbram — and the absence of any prior meetings. If the model's medium confidence is misplaced, a closer contest than 4-1 is the likely alternative.