Union Gurten1-1LASK Amateure OÖ

This is Round 6 of the Austrian Regionalliga Nord, with Union Gurten hosting LASK Amateure OÖ at the Park21-Arena Gurten. The model gives the home side an 82.9% win probability, the clear most likely outcome. No prior meetings between these sides are on record.

League table data is not available for Union Gurten. They have won three of their last five matches, with two defeats, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. At home, they have won two of their last three, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding 1.33.

No league table data is available for LASK Amateure OÖ. Their recent form over four matches shows two wins, one draw and one loss, with an average of 3.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Away from home, they have not won in two matches, drawing one and losing one, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.5.

No prior meetings between Union Gurten and LASK Amateure OÖ are on record. With no head-to-head history, the model's projection has no direct historical anchor, adding uncertainty to this fixture.

Union Gurten's home record shows two wins in three, with an average of 2.0 scored and 1.33 conceded. LASK Amateure's away form is winless in two, and their scoring average drops sharply from 3.5 per game overall to 1.5 away, while conceding rises from 1.5 to 2.5.

Both teams have had six days of rest since their last matches. The away side's scoring output in recent games has been high, but that has not translated into away results. The model's medium confidence reflects the absence of head-to-head data and league-table info, so the projection leans on recent form and venue splits.

The model projects a 3-1 home win, with expected goal values of 3.99 for Union Gurten and 1.31 for LASK Amateure. It places the most likely exact scorelines at 3-1 (7.1%), 4-1 (7.0%) and 5-1 (5.6%). Total goals are expected at about 5.3, with a 77% chance of four or more goals and a 71.8% chance that each side scores at least once. The model gives a 68.2% probability of a home win by two or more goals, versus 14.7% for a one-goal home win. Confidence is medium.

The data points to a home win with a comfortable margin and a high-scoring game. Union Gurten's strong home form and LASK Amateure's poor away record are the key drivers. The medium confidence and the lack of any prior meetings mean an away result is not impossible, particularly given the visitors' recent scoring numbers, but the model's primary projection is a convincing home victory.