SportMetrics
Georgian Liga 3

Tbilisi 2025Tbilisi 20255-0Iveria KhashuriIveria Khashuri

Full-timeKick-off: Thursday, 27 August 2026 at 17:00Venue: Algeti Arena

Prediction Review

Our prediction
Tbilisi 20259840%
Expected Score: 6-0
Actual result
Tbilisi 2025
5-0

Match Analysis

Tbilisi 2025 given 98.4% win probability by model

Overview

Tbilisi 2025 host Iveria Khashuri in Round 19 of Georgian Liga 3. The model gives the home side a 98.4% win probability and projects a 6-0 scoreline. No league table positions are available for either side, so the analysis leans on recent form and the model output.

Home Side Form

Tbilisi 2025 have won both home matches in the sample, averaging 5.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Their last five games overall read DWDWW, with an average of three goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. No league table position is on record.

Away Side Form

Iveria Khashuri have no wins in their last two away games, drawing one and losing one, and have conceded three goals per game on the road. Their last five overall read LDLDL, scoring one goal per game and conceding 2.4. No league table position is on record.

Head-to-Head Record

No prior meetings between these sides are on record. With a sample that small, head-to-head history offers no meaningful guide.

Home & Away Splits

At Algeti Arena, Tbilisi 2025 have scored 5.5 goals per game and conceded 0.5. Iveria Khashuri's away games have seen them concede three per game. The home and away splits point in opposite directions.

Key Factors

Both teams have had seven days of rest, so neither holds a scheduling edge. The model rates its own confidence as medium, reflecting the gap in recent output. With no head-to-head record, the projection rests entirely on this season's form.

What the Model Says

The model gives Tbilisi 2025 a 98.4% win probability and a projected score of 6-0. Its top exact-scoreline probabilities are 6-0 and 5-0, each at 11.6%. It expects about 6.5 total goals, with a 94.7% chance of a home win by two or more, and a 38.9% probability that each side scores at least once.

Verdict

The data points to a decisive home victory, though the model's confidence is medium. A non-home result would contradict both the recent form splits and the model, but the absence of any head-to-head record leaves some uncertainty.

Last updated: 2026-08-27 17:10:49

Tbilisi 2025Tbilisi 2025
vs
Iveria KhashuriIveria Khashuri
—
No top-flight data (newly promoted)
League Standing
—
No top-flight data (newly promoted)
—
Attack
—
—
Defence
—
—
Efficiency
—
3W 1D 0L
Home · 75%
Home / Away Record
0W 2D 2L
Away · 0%
✗––✓–
Recent Form
–––✗✗

Head to Head

Tbilisi 2025 1Draw 00 Iveria Khashuri
  • 2026-08-275 - 0Home

FAQ

What was the final score of Tbilisi 2025 vs Iveria Khashuri?
The match finished Tbilisi 2025 5-0 Iveria Khashuri (full-time).

Notes & Limitations

  • Based on current null season
  • One or both sides lack top-flight history. Figures are adjusted from lower-division data and carry reduced confidence.
  • This analysis does not account for injuries, suspensions or confirmed line-ups.
How predictions work →

Related