Tbilisi 2025vsIveria Khashuri

Tbilisi 2025 host Iveria Khashuri in Round 19 of Georgian Liga 3. The model gives the home side a 98.4% win probability and projects a 6-0 scoreline. No league table positions are available for either side, so the analysis leans on recent form and the model output.

Tbilisi 2025 have won both home matches in the sample, averaging 5.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Their last five games overall read DWDWW, with an average of three goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. No league table position is on record.

Iveria Khashuri have no wins in their last two away games, drawing one and losing one, and have conceded three goals per game on the road. Their last five overall read LDLDL, scoring one goal per game and conceding 2.4. No league table position is on record.

No prior meetings between these sides are on record. With a sample that small, head-to-head history offers no meaningful guide.

At Algeti Arena, Tbilisi 2025 have scored 5.5 goals per game and conceded 0.5. Iveria Khashuri's away games have seen them concede three per game. The home and away splits point in opposite directions.

Both teams have had seven days of rest, so neither holds a scheduling edge. The model rates its own confidence as medium, reflecting the gap in recent output. With no head-to-head record, the projection rests entirely on this season's form.

The model gives Tbilisi 2025 a 98.4% win probability and a projected score of 6-0. Its top exact-scoreline probabilities are 6-0 and 5-0, each at 11.6%. It expects about 6.5 total goals, with a 94.7% chance of a home win by two or more, and a 38.9% probability that each side scores at least once.

The data points to a decisive home victory, though the model's confidence is medium. A non-home result would contradict both the recent form splits and the model, but the absence of any head-to-head record leaves some uncertainty.