Śląsk Wrocław II2-3Znicz Pruszków

This Polish II liga round-six match sees Znicz Pruszków visit Stadion Oporowska as the clear model favorite, with a 69.2% win probability. The projected score is 0-2, and the model expects roughly three combined goals. Neither side has a league table position recorded in the data.

Śląsk Wrocław II have lost their two most recent matches, though the three prior results were wins, giving an average of 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded across the five. At home, they have won two of three, scoring twice per game on average and conceding 1.33. Their league position is unavailable.

Znicz Pruszków are unbeaten in their last five, with four wins and one draw, averaging 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. Both away matches in the sample were wins, with 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded per game. No league table position is listed.

There are no prior meetings on record, so the head-to-head sample is empty and offers no signal.

Śląsk Wrocław II's home numbers show two wins and a loss in three games, with an average of two goals scored. Znicz Pruszków have won both away matches in the data, conceding only 0.5 per game. The away side's road scoring is slightly higher than their overall rate.

Both sides have had a similar rest period: six days for the home team and seven for the visitors. The model's medium confidence reflects some uncertainty, but the away side's recent defensive solidity and the home side's two consecutive losses are the clearest signals in the data.

The model assigns a 69.2% win probability to Znicz Pruszków, with a draw at 18.5% and a home win at 12.3%. It projects a 0-2 scoreline from expected values of 0.8 and 2.19 goals, with total goals around three (57.4% chance of three or more). The most likely exact scoreline is 0-2 (12.1%), and the away team wins by two or more in 45.3% of model simulations.

The data points strongly to an away win, with the projected scoreline and the away side's form both aligned. The home team is not without a path: the model gives them a 12.3% win chance and a 18.5% draw chance. That combined 30.8% non-loss probability is not negligible, but the balance of evidence clearly favors the visitors.