SchweinfurtvsGreuther Fürth II

This is a German Regionalliga Bayern round 6 meeting at Sachs-Stadion. The model gives the home side a 79.8% win probability and projects a 2-0 scoreline. Greuther Fürth II have lost each of their last three away matches.

Schweinfurt's recent form reads WWDDL, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over those five matches. In their last two home games they have one win and one draw, scoring two goals per game.

Greuther Fürth II have lost all three of their last away matches, scoring 0.67 goals per game and conceding 1.67. Their last five matches overall are LWLLL, with 0.8 goals scored per game.

There are no prior meetings on record. The head-to-head therefore offers no guide to this fixture.

Schweinfurt have averaged two goals per home game and conceded 1.5 in their last two at Sachs-Stadion. Greuther Fürth II have averaged 0.67 goals scored away from home in their last three road matches.

Schweinfurt have six days of rest since their last match, one fewer than their opponents. Neither side has a league table position available in the data, so schedule context is limited. The absence of prior head-to-head meetings adds uncertainty to the projection.

The Poisson model puts the home win at 79.8%, the draw at 13.4% and the away win at 6.8%. The projected score is 2-0, with 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8%. Expected total goals are around 3.32, with an 84.4% chance of at least two goals and a 44.9% chance both teams score. The model gives the home side a 58.9% chance of winning by two or more goals.

The data supports a home win, with the model's medium confidence reflecting some uncertainty. The projected 2-0 scoreline and a 58.9% chance of winning by two or more goals both point to a comfortable margin, though the away side's record suggests they may struggle to score.