Radomiak Radom2-1Cracovia

This is a Round 6 match in the 2026-2027 Polish Ekstraklasa season. The model projects an extremely low-scoring game, with a draw given a 75.8% probability and 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline. Neither team has a head-to-head record, as no prior meetings are on file.

Radomiak's last five matches (DLDLL) produced one win, two draws, and two losses, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded per game. At home over their last four, they have one win, two draws, and one loss, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.25 on average.

Cracovia are unbeaten in their last two away games, drawing both 0-0. Their recent run of five (WWDLD) includes two wins, two draws, and one loss, with exactly 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per match.

There are no recorded meetings between Radomiak Radom and Cracovia, so the head-to-head sample is too small to draw any conclusions.

Radomiak's home form (1W 2D 1L) shows a slightly higher scoring rate than their overall recent run, but also a persistent leak (1.25 conceded per home game). Cracovia's away record is based on just two matches, both goalless draws, offering limited insight into how they might perform here.

Radomiak have had six days of rest since their last match, while Cracovia have had eight. No league table data is available for either side, and with no prior meetings, the model relies almost entirely on recent scoring rates — which are exceptionally low.

The model gives a draw a 75.8% chance, with home and away wins both at 12.1%. The projected scoreline is 0-0, and the expected total goals for the match is about 0.3; the probability of both teams scoring is just 1.9%. Winning margins are strongly concentrated on a draw (75.8%), with one-goal margins in either direction at 11.2% each. The model's confidence is medium.

The data points to a tight, low-scoring encounter in which neither side is expected to score more than once, and a draw is the clear most likely outcome at 75.8%. If Radomiak's recent conceding rate (2.4 per game) persists, that would contradict the model's expectation of a clean sheet for the home side; similarly, Cracovia's goalless away run suggests they may struggle to break through.