SportMetrics
Polish III liga Group III

Miedź Legnica IIMiedź Legnica IIvsStilon Gorzów WielkopolskiStilon Gorzów Wielkopolski

Kick-off: Friday, 28 August 2026 at 14:00Venue: Akademia Piłkarska Miedzi

Prediction

Medium confidence
28.4%Draw 32.8%38.8%
Miedź Legnica IIStilon Gorzów Wielkopolski
Predicted range
Home 0-1·Away 0-1
most likely 0-0
Expected goals
0.8 : 0.99
Most likely scorelines
0-0
16.8%
0-1
16.6%
1-0
13.4%

Deeper Projections

Projected total goals
1.79
Both teams to score
34.5%
Total goals distribution
Over/Under 1.553.3%·46.7%
Over/Under 2.526.5%·73.5%
Over/Under 3.510.6%·89.4%
Winning margin
Home +29%Home +119.4%Draw32.8%Away +124%Away +214.8%

Match Analysis

Stilon Gorzów the model's pick at Miedź Legnica II

Overview

Round 6 of the Polish III liga Group III brings Miedź Legnica II and Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski together with no league table data on either side. The model sees a tight encounter, giving the visitors a narrow 38.8% win probability. A draw is almost as likely at 32.8%.

Home Side Form

Miedź Legnica II have lost four of their last five, with the run reading LLDLL and averages of 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. At home in their last two matches they have taken no points, scoring 0.5 per game and conceding 1.5.

Away Side Form

Stilon Gorzów's recent four games produced LDLW, with 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. Their only recorded away game was a defeat, with one goal scored and two conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

No prior meetings between the sides are on record. The head-to-head sample is too small to draw any conclusions.

Home & Away Splits

Miedź Legnica II have lost both of their last two home matches at Akademia Piłkarska Miedzi, with a goal difference of 1 scored against 3 conceded. Stilon Gorzów have just one away result to go on, also a loss. The venue data is therefore limited on both sides.

Key Factors

Neither side enters with a rest advantage; both last played on 2026-08-22. With no league table and no head-to-head history, the form samples are small. This raises the uncertainty around any projection.

What the Model Says

The model projects a low-scoring match, with about 1.79 total goals and a 53.3% chance of at least two goals. A 0-0 draw is the single most likely scoreline at 16.8%, but the most likely outcome is an away win at 38.8%. The margin distribution is tight: a one-goal away win (24%) and a draw (32.8%) together outweigh a two-goal away win (14.8%). The model's confidence is medium.

Verdict

The data points to a narrow game with Stilon Gorzów slightly favored, though a draw is nearly as probable. The lack of head-to-head meetings and league table information makes this projection more fragile than usual. A single goal either way could decide it, and the model assigns a combined 43.4% chance to a one-goal margin in either direction.

Last updated: 2026-08-28 05:42:04

Miedź Legnica IIMiedź Legnica II
vs
Stilon Gorzów WielkopolskiStilon Gorzów Wielkopolski
No top-flight data (newly promoted)
League Standing
No top-flight data (newly promoted)
Attack
Defence
Efficiency
0W 0D 2L
Home · 0%
Home / Away Record
0W 0D 1L
Away · 0%
Recent Form

Head to Head

No recent meetings between these sides

FAQ

Who is predicted to win Miedź Legnica II vs Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski?
Our model makes Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski the most likely outcome, at about 3880%.
What is the predicted score for Miedź Legnica II vs Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski?
The model projects roughly Miedź Legnica II 0-0 Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski.
When does Miedź Legnica II vs Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski kick off?
Kick-off is Friday, 28 August 2026 at 14:00, at Akademia Piłkarska Miedzi.

Notes & Limitations

  • Based on current null season
  • One or both sides lack top-flight history. Figures are adjusted from lower-division data and carry reduced confidence.
  • This analysis does not account for injuries, suspensions or confirmed line-ups.
How predictions work

Related

More predictions in this league