Landsberg0-0Eichstätt

This Round 5 Regionalliga Bayern fixture pits Landsberg against Eichstätt at the Sportpark Landsberg, though neither side has a league table record to draw on. The model strongly favors the hosts, giving Landsberg an 85.9% win probability and projecting a 3-1 scoreline.

Landsberg's last five matches read LDLLW, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game. At home over their last three they have a 1W 1D 1L record, scoring and conceding an average of 1.67 goals per match.

Eichstätt's recent form is WDLL, averaging 1 goal scored and 2.25 conceded across their last four outings. Away from home they are winless in their last two (0W 1D 1L), conceding three per game on average.

There are no prior meetings on record between Landsberg and Eichstätt, so head-to-head history offers no basis for prediction.

Landsberg's home numbers show a balanced 1.67 goals scored and conceded per game over three matches, but a modest 33.3% win rate. Eichstätt's away record over two games is winless and defensively porous, conceding an average of three goals per match.

Both sides have had seven days of rest, so fatigue is not a differentiator. The absence of league-table data and the lack of prior meetings add uncertainty, but the model's read is unequivocal.

The Poisson model gives Landsberg an 85.9% win probability, with the draw at 8.4% and an Eichstätt win at 5.7%. Confidence is medium. It projects about 5.09 total goals, with a 96.2% chance of at least two goals and a 65.4% chance that both teams score. The model's top exact scorelines are 3-1, 4-1, and 3-0, and it sees a 72% chance of a home win by two or more goals.

The data points to a comfortable Landsberg victory, with the model expecting multiple goals and a decisive margin. That outlook would be wrong if Eichstätt's two-game away sample is not representative or if Landsberg's recent inconsistency, including two losses in their last five, persists.