Internacional de BogotávsDeportivo Pasto

This Round 7 fixture is the first competitive meeting between Internacional de Bogotá and Deportivo Pasto, and neither side has league table data on record. The model gives the home side the highest win probability at 49.8%, while the visitors are rated at 6.6%. Bogotá have won their only home match on record, while Pasto have split their last two away games.

Internacional de Bogotá's recent five-match form is DDLWW, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their only home match this season ended in a win, with one goal scored and none conceded.

Deportivo Pasto's last five matches show a win after four consecutive losses, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In their two most recent away games, they have one win and one loss, scoring 1.5 goals and conceding 1.0 per match.

No prior meetings between the clubs are on record, so this is the first head-to-head fixture. Historical comparison is therefore not possible.

The match is at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Internacional de Bogotá's only home match on record was a victory without conceding, while Deportivo Pasto's away form shows one win and one loss in their last two.

Both teams have had five days of rest since their last match on 2026-08-23. The model's medium confidence reflects the small sample sizes: one home appearance for Bogotá and two away appearances for Pasto. Pasto's most recent result was a win, but it followed four consecutive losses.

The model projects a 0-0 draw as the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8%, with 1-0 and 2-0 home wins at 30.9% and 12.3%. It expects about 0.95 total goals, and the chance that both teams score is just 7.7%. Outcome probabilities favor the home side at 49.8% versus 43.6% for a draw and 6.6% for the away side, with a one-goal home win the most common winning margin at 32.8%.

The data points to a low-scoring match with the home side favored to win narrowly. Yet the draw probability of 43.6% is substantial, and the 0-0 projected scoreline underscores how few goals are expected. That projection would be wrong if Pasto's recent away scoring output — 1.5 goals per game in their last two trips — carries over, making the away side more competitive than the model suggests.