Hradec Králové B0-0Chrudim

Hradec Králové B host Chrudim in round three of the Czech Bohemian Football League Group B, a meeting between a side whose recent home form has been solid and an opponent still awaiting a first away point. The model gives the hosts a 90.3% win probability and projects a 6-1 scoreline, with a combined goals projection of 7.76. No prior meetings are on record, leaving form and venue data as the only basis for comparison.

No league table position is available for Hradec Králové B, but their last five matches across all venues show two wins, two losses, and a draw (DWLLW, most recent first). At home, they have won two of their last three fixtures, averaging 2.33 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per game. Those numbers suggest a side that scores freely but also concedes at home.

Chrudim have played only one away match in the current sample, losing that game and shipping six goals while scoring once. Their overall recent form from four matches is two wins and two losses, with an average of 1.75 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. The single away outing is a thin base, but it is the only road evidence available.

Head-to-head history is not available; the two sides have no prior meetings on record. The preview therefore cannot lean on past encounters, and the model must weigh current form and venue splits instead. This makes the fixture’s projection more reliant on the limited season data.

The home side have won two of their last three at home, averaging 2.33 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per game. Chrudim's lone away outing in the sample produced one goal scored and six conceded. The venue split therefore heavily favors the hosts.

Both sides have had a full week to prepare, with Hradec Králové B last playing seven days ago and Chrudim eight days ago. The away side's only match on the road in the sample ended in a defeat with six conceded, a small but notable sample. The absence of any head-to-head meetings is another source of uncertainty, which the model flags with medium confidence.

The model gives Hradec Králové B a 90.3% win probability, with a draw at 5.3% and a Chrudim win at 4.3%. The projected score is 6-1, with the top exact scorelines in the model's output being 6-1, 5-1, and 6-2. It projects roughly 7.76 total goals, a 99.6% chance of at least two goals, and an 82.5% chance both teams find the net. The winning-margin distribution shows an 81.2% probability of a home win by two or more goals, pointing to a decisive margin.

The collective data points to a dominant home victory, with high-scoring output from both sides but a clear edge for Hradec Králové B. The away side's heavy defensive struggles on the road and the hosts' strong home record support the model's projection. That said, the small samples — one away match for Chrudim and no head-to-head meetings — mean the actual margin could easily be narrower or the game tighter than the numbers suggest.