Hangzhou Linping Wuyue1-0Guangdong Mingtu

This Round 22 China League Two fixture sees Hangzhou Linping Wuyue host Guangdong Mingtu at Linping Sports Centre Stadium. No league table data is available for either side, and the two teams have not met previously. The model projects an unusually high draw probability of 75.8%, with a most likely scoreline of 0-0.

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue's last five matches read W-W-D-W-D, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their most recent match was on 2026-08-16. At home over their last two matches they have one win and one draw, averaging 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Guangdong Mingtu's last five matches read W-D-D-W-D, averaging 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded per game. They also last played on 2026-08-16. In their last two away matches they drew both times, with zero goals scored and zero conceded on average.

There are no prior meetings on record between these two sides, so the head-to-head sample is too small to provide any meaningful indication.

The home and away splits are based on only two matches per side. Hangzhou Linping Wuyue have a 50% win rate at home in that stretch, while Guangdong Mingtu are winless away with two draws. These are small samples and should be treated with caution.

Both teams have had seven days of rest, so neither holds a scheduling advantage. The absence of league table data and head-to-head history makes the two-match form samples the only available guide. The model treats the two sides as very evenly matched.

The model gives a draw probability of 75.8%, with each side winning at 12.1%. The projected score is 0-0, and expected goals are just 0.15 per side, roughly 0.3 combined. The probability of two or more total goals is 3.7%, and the chance of each side scoring at least once is 1.9%. Confidence is medium.

The data points strongly to a draw, with 0-0 the most likely individual scoreline at 74.1%. A 1-0 result in either direction is the next most plausible scoreline at 11.1% each. This projection would be invalidated only if one side's attack proves far more efficient than recent form suggests.