Fortuna DüsseldorfvsStuttgart II

Fortuna Düsseldorf host Stuttgart II in a Liga 3 round 3 fixture with no prior meetings on record. The model gives the visitors an 89.3% win probability and projects a 0-3 scoreline.

Fortuna Düsseldorf's last five matches read LLLLW, with an average of 1 goal scored and 2.6 conceded per game. At home across their last 20 matches they have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses, a 40% win rate.

Stuttgart II have won all three of their most recent away matches, averaging 3.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. Their last five games overall show LWLWW, with 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.

No prior meetings are on record between these sides. The head-to-head record is therefore empty and offers no basis for prediction.

Düsseldorf's home split shows 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses from 20 matches, conceding an average of 1.65 goals. Stuttgart II's away sample is small — three straight wins with 3.33 goals scored per game — so it should be read with caution.

Stuttgart II have had 12 days of rest since their last match, while Düsseldorf have had five. The combination of the visitors' away form and the hosts' conceding rate points the same way.

The model, with medium confidence, assigns an 89.3% probability to a Stuttgart II win, with 0-3 the most likely individual scoreline. It projects about 4.3 total goals, a 92.7% chance of at least two goals, and a 75.2% chance the visitors win by two or more. The model also gives a 47.4% probability that each side scores at least once.

Collectively the data points to a comfortable away victory. The caveats are the small away sample for Stuttgart II and the absence of head-to-head history, so a tighter margin than the projection would not contradict the underlying numbers.