Flora Tallinn U212-1Viimsi

This is a Round 24 Esiliiga fixture between Flora Tallinn U21 and Viimsi. Neither side's league position is available in the data, but the model gives Viimsi a 70.8% win probability, making an away victory the most likely outcome. The projected score is 1-2.

Flora Tallinn U21 have won two of their last five matches (LWLWL), with three losses, averaging 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. At home over their last two games, they have one win and one loss, scoring 2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Their last five matches have produced no draws.

Viimsi have won four of their last five matches (WWLWW), averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. On the road, they have won all three of their most recent away games, averaging 2.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Across that sample, their away form is perfect.

There are no prior meetings on record between these sides. With fewer than three head-to-head matches, the historical record offers no useful pattern to lean on.

Flora Tallinn U21's home record over the last two matches is one win and one loss. Viimsi have won all three of their last away games, with a clearly better goal difference. The away side's recent travel form is stronger than the home side's form at this venue.

Both sides have had six days of rest since their last matches on the same date, so there is no scheduling edge. The model's confidence is medium, and the lack of any head-to-head meetings adds uncertainty to the projection. Viimsi's strong away record and recent scoring output underpin their projected edge in the data.

The model projects a 1-2 scoreline, with expected goals of 1.07 for Flora and 2.63 for Viimsi, and gives the away side a 70.8% win probability. Total goals are expected to be around 3.7, with an 88.4% chance of at least two goals and a 60.9% chance both teams score. The most likely winning margin is Viimsi by two or more goals (49.7%), followed by Viimsi by one goal (21.1%).

The data points consistently to a Viimsi win, given their perfect recent away record and the model's 70.8% probability. The main caveats are the medium confidence and the absence of head-to-head history. If Flora outperform their expected goal output, the margin could narrow, but Viimsi is still the strong projected winner based on the model.