SportMetrics
WNBA

Dallas WingsDallas WingsvsGolden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries

Kick-off: Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 01:00Venue: College Park Center

Prediction

Medium confidence
51.1%48.9%
Dallas WingsGolden State Valkyries
Expected Score
90 - 90
Expected goals
89.9 : 89.6

Deeper Projections

Projected total points
180
Projected margin
+0.3
Dallas Wings lead by
Point-margin distribution
Home 11+19.1%Home 1-1032%Away 1-1031.2%Away 11+17.8%

Match Analysis

Wings vs Valkyries: High-scoring WNBA opener

Overview

Dallas Wings host Golden State Valkyries in a WNBA season opener. The model projects 180 combined points with a high-scoring potential. Both teams average over 90 points per game.

Home Side Form

The Wings have not drawn at home in their last 20 games, posting an 80% win rate. They have scored 88.15 and conceded 78.8 points per home contest.

Away Side Form

The Valkyries have a 65% away win rate over the last 20 games, scoring 79.55 points while conceding 74.6 points.

Head-to-Head Record

There are 9 meetings on record. Golden State Valkyries lead the all-time series 7-2. All 9 games have seen 2 or fewer goals. The most recent meeting on 2026-10-01 ended in a 108-100 home victory.

Home & Away Splits

The Wings' home scoring average of 88.15 is lower than their recent five-game average of 92.8. The Valkyries' away scoring average of 79.55 is also lower than their last five-game average of 86.4.

Key Factors

Both teams have a short turnaround. The Wings have a very high home win rate (80%). The Valkyries are on a 2-game winning streak.

What the Model Says

The model gives a medium confidence. The probability for a Dallas Wings win is 51.1%. The projected score is 90-90, with an expected margin of 0.3 points. The model projects about 180 combined points, with the most likely outcome being a home victory.

Verdict

The model projects a Dallas Wings win with a score near 90-90. The data favors the home team on a short turnaround, but a one-point margin is highly likely.

Last updated: 2026-10-01 12:01:15

Dallas WingsDallas Wings
vs
Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries
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No top-flight data (newly promoted)
League Standing
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No top-flight data (newly promoted)
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Attack
—
—
Defence
—
—
Efficiency
—
16W 0D 4L
Home · 80%
Home / Away Record
13W 0D 7L
Away · 65%
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Recent Form
✗✓✓✗✓

Head to Head

Dallas Wings 2Draw 07 Golden State Valkyries
  • 2026-10-01108 - 100Home
  • 2026-09-2880 - 104Away
  • 2026-08-1850 - 66Away
  • 2026-08-0876 - 94Home
  • 2026-06-1880 - 91Away

FAQ

Who is predicted to win Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries?
Our model makes Dallas Wings the most likely outcome, at about 5110%.
What is the predicted score for Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries?
The model projects roughly Dallas Wings 90-90 Golden State Valkyries.
When does Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries kick off?
Kick-off is Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 01:00, at College Park Center.

Notes & Limitations

  • Based on 2025 season data
  • One or both sides lack top-flight history. Figures are adjusted from lower-division data and carry reduced confidence.
  • This analysis does not account for injuries, suspensions or confirmed line-ups.
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