Coquimbo UnidovsHuachipato

Round 21 of the 2026 Chilean Primera División sees Coquimbo Unido host Huachipato at Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso. The model gives the home side an 81.2% win probability and projects a 2-0 scoreline, with Huachipato arriving on a run of poor results.

Coquimbo Unido have no league table data on record. At home across their last four matches they have one win, two draws and one loss, averaging 0.75 goals scored and conceded. Their wider five-match run is LDDDD, with 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Huachipato also have no league table data. Their last two away games ended in defeat, with 0.5 goals scored and 3.5 conceded per match. Over five recent outings they are LLLLD, averaging 1.2 scored but 3.4 conceded.

No prior meetings between these sides are on record. With no historical head-to-head data, the model and current form provide the only basis for projection.

Coquimbo Unido's home record over the last four shows a modest 25% win rate and an even goal average. Huachipato's away form is markedly worse: two losses from two matches, conceding 3.5 per game. The split highlights a clear home advantage.

Coquimbo Unido have had five days since their last match, Huachipato nine. The longer break for the visitors is the main scheduling note. The absence of league table data for both sides means recent form carries more weight than usual.

The model projects a 2-0 home win, with expected goals of 2.09 for Coquimbo Unido and 0.25 for Huachipato. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-0 (21.1%), ahead of 1-0 (20.1%) and 3-0 (14.7%). Total goals are expected at about 2.34, with a 67.8% chance of at least two goals and a 19.3% probability that both sides score. The winning-margin distribution gives Coquimbo Unido a 55.4% chance of winning by two or more, and a 25.8% chance of a one-goal win. The model's confidence is medium.

The data points clearly to a Coquimbo Unido victory, likely by a comfortable margin. The away side's recent defensive record — 3.4 conceded per game over five matches — makes a low-scoring home win a strong projection. With no head-to-head history and medium confidence, an upset cannot be ruled out, but the model's case is heavily weighted toward the home side.