Colorado Rapids 24-1Real Monarchs

Colorado Rapids 2 host Real Monarchs in an MLS Next Pro fixture with no prior meetings between the sides. Both teams have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game in their last five matches, and the model puts a 75.8% probability on a draw, with a projected score of 0-0. No league table data is available, so recent form and the model provide the main reference points.

Colorado Rapids 2 have not won in their last five matches, recording two draws and three defeats while averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their most recent outing was a loss on 16 August. In the single home match on record, they drew without scoring.

Real Monarchs also average 0.8 goals scored per game across their last five, but concede at a higher rate of 2.4 per match. Their sequence reads LLLLW, with the most recent result a win on 8 August. Away from home, they have lost all three matches on record, failing to score and conceding an average of 2.33.

There are no prior meetings between Colorado Rapids 2 and Real Monarchs in the data, leaving no head-to-head record to assess. The sample is zero, so past results offer no guide here.

Colorado Rapids 2 have played just one home match in the dataset, a goalless draw. Real Monarchs have lost all three away games on record, scoring zero and conceding an average of 2.33. These splits rest on very small samples and should be treated with caution.

Both sides have similarly low scoring rates in recent matches, averaging 0.8 goals per game, and the visitors have conceded more at 2.4 per game. The home side has had 8 days since their last match, the visitors 16. With no head-to-head history and limited venue data, the teams are difficult to separate.

The model gives Colorado Rapids 2 a 12.1% win probability, Real Monarchs 12.1%, and a draw 75.8%, with a projected score of 0-0. The most likely exact scoreline is 0-0 at 74.1%. Total expected goals are about 0.3 combined, with a 3.7% chance of two or more goals and a 1.9% chance that both sides score; the winning-margin distribution is likewise dominated by the draw, with each side winning by a single goal at 11.2%. The model's confidence is medium.

The data collectively points to a goalless draw as the most probable outcome, backed by the model's 75.8% draw probability and the teams' low scoring rates. For that to be wrong, one side would need to break a largely contained pattern, though the model sees each of the 1-0 and 0-1 scorelines at 11.1% — plausible but secondary.