Austria Wien Women4-0Brann Women

Austria Wien host Brann in a UEFA Women's Champions League third-round tie just one week after the sides met, with Brann winning 2-1 on that occasion. The model assigns Brann a 94.4% win probability and projects a 0-3 final score. Brann arrive in exceptional form, having won their last five matches while averaging 3.6 goals per game.

Austria Wien's recent form is LWWLD, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match over their last five. At home in their last three matches, they have won two and lost one, scoring an average of 3 goals and conceding 1.67. No league table data is available for the side.

Brann have won all five of their most recent matches, averaging 3.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Their only away match on record in this sequence was a 3-0 win with a clean sheet. They have been the higher-scoring side in every recent outing.

The only recorded meeting between these sides came on 2026-08-25, when Brann won 2-1 at home. That is a one-match sample, so it offers limited predictive weight. The result sets up this immediate rematch at Austria Wien.

Austria Wien have averaged 3 goals per home match across their last three fixtures at their own ground. Brann's away sample is a single 3-0 win, so their away form is promising but not deeply established. The switch to Austria Wien's home venue is the main change from the head-to-head meeting.

Both teams had seven days of rest after playing each other on 25 August, so there is no short-turnaround edge. Brann's recent scoring rate stands out, as does Austria Wien's average of 1.4 goals conceded per match. These numbers point to a likely high-scoring away performance.

The Poisson model gives Brann a 94.4% win probability, with a 5% draw and a 0.7% Austria Wien win. The projected score is 0-3, and the most likely exact scorelines are 0-3, 0-2, and 0-4. The model expects about 3.45 total goals, with an 85.8% chance of at least two goals and a 66.7% chance of at least three. It also assigns an 81% probability to a Brann win by two or more goals, and only a 13.4% chance that each side scores. Overall confidence is medium.

All available data points to a Brann victory, and likely by a comfortable margin. Austria Wien would need to outperform their recent defensive numbers and the model's projection to alter the expected outcome. The medium confidence leaves some room for surprise, but the statistical picture is heavily tilted toward the away side.