1860 Munich II1-1Deisenhofen

This German Oberliga Bayern Süd fixture sees 1860 Munich II host Deisenhofen. The model sees a wide gap between the sides, giving the home team a 98.1% win probability and projecting a 5-0 scoreline. Both teams are on three days' rest, a short turnaround.

1860 Munich II are unbeaten at home in their last four matches, with two wins and two draws, averaging three goals scored and one conceded. Over their last five overall they have two wins, two draws and a defeat, with an average of 2.8 goals scored and two conceded per game.

Deisenhofen have won one and lost two of their last three away games, averaging 0.67 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Their recent five-match run includes one win, one draw and three losses, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4 per game.

No prior meetings are on record between these two sides. The head-to-head sample is too small to draw any meaningful conclusions.

1860 Munich II's home form is solid, with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference in the four-game sample. Deisenhofen's away numbers are weaker, with one win in three and a negative average goal difference, which the model's projected 5-0 reflects.

Both sides are playing three days after their last match, a short turnaround flagged as congested for each. There is no head-to-head history and no league table data in the block, so the model leans on recent form and venue splits. Deisenhofen's away scoring average of 0.67 goals per game stands out as a limiting factor.

The model rates 1860 Munich II at 98.1% to win, with a draw at 1.5% and an away win at 0.4%. The projected score is 5-0, and the most likely exact scorelines are 5-0, 6-0 and 4-0. It expects roughly six total goals, with a 98.1% chance of two or more and an 83.1% chance of four or more; both teams scoring is put at 35.4%. Confidence is medium.

The data collectively points to a comfortable home victory, with the model expecting a large margin and high goal total. That outlook would be undermined if Deisenhofen's recent away form understates their level, or if the short turnaround affects the favorites more than expected. The absence of head-to-head history is a caveat.